Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.001745 0.001820 0.001898 0.001985 0.002080 0.002181 0.002296
2025-06-15 0.001634 0.001742 0.001860 0.001997 0.002155 0.002334 0.002552
2025-06-22 0.001533 0.001660 0.001803 0.001976 0.002184 0.002430 0.002748
2025-06-29 0.001448 0.001588 0.001747 0.001946 0.002194 0.002498 0.002913
2025-07-06 0.001388 0.001537 0.001711 0.001933 0.002218 0.002581 0.003103
2025-07-13 0.001309 0.001458 0.001635 0.001864 0.002164 0.002556 0.003138
2025-07-20 0.001269 0.001424 0.001610 0.001857 0.002187 0.002632 0.003323
2025-07-27 0.001243 0.001405 0.001603 0.001869 0.002234 0.002745 0.003577
2025-08-03 0.001209 0.001374 0.001577 0.001856 0.002245 0.002804 0.003754
2025-08-10 0.001190 0.001361 0.001574 0.001871 0.002295 0.002925 0.004052
2025-08-17 0.001163 0.001335 0.001553 0.001860 0.002308 0.002988 0.004259
2025-08-24 0.001133 0.001306 0.001525 0.001839 0.002301 0.003020 0.004411
2025-08-31 0.001123 0.001302 0.001532 0.001867 0.002373 0.003189 0.004877
2025-09-07 0.001107 0.001291 0.001529 0.001880 0.002422 0.003328 0.005324
2025-09-14 0.001082 0.001266 0.001506 0.001862 0.002422 0.003378 0.005583
2025-09-21 0.001056 0.001238 0.001477 0.001836 0.002405 0.003396 0.005769
2025-09-28 0.001036 0.001218 0.001459 0.001824 0.002412 0.003457 0.006088
2025-10-05 0.001000 0.001176 0.001409 0.001762 0.002331 0.003344 0.005899
2025-10-12 0.000984 0.001161 0.001397 0.001756 0.002343 0.003413 0.006251
2025-10-19 0.000975 0.001154 0.001395 0.001767 0.002385 0.003546 0.006851
2025-10-26 0.000959 0.001138 0.001380 0.001755 0.002386 0.003596 0.007206
2025-11-02 0.000952 0.001133 0.001380 0.001768 0.002432 0.003747 0.008008
2025-11-09 0.000938 0.001119 0.001367 0.001759 0.002438 0.003809 0.008508